Extra!

Your match,
on the front page

Sign in with Steam, pick a recent Deadlock match and read its story: the curve of the match, the moments that weighed the most and what each player contributed.

A model trained on almost 4,000 replays of the game (almost 1 TB) works out the win probability at every moment.

Sign in with SteamFrom Steam, only your account identifier is used.
The Hidden King wins after dropping to 38%Hover over the curve to see the time and the probability
Fights
+12.3+12.3−12.4−9.5+13.3
100%75%50%25%0%
Hidden King aheadArchmother ahead
Objectives
0:005:0010:0015:0020:0025:0030:0035:34
Win probability of the Hidden KingMoment, numbered by costFight, with its change for the Hidden KingObjective of the Hidden KingObjective of the Archmother

−11.1Moment 1 · 31:41 · AbramsDies to Haze. 2 allies and 3 enemies nearby; alive, 6 vs 3. A barracks falls 38 s later.

Sample report: a 35:34 match, tier 8. Read it in full

Breaking5:35 Abrams falls to Paradox8:34 Apollo falls to Deadman Danny8:50 The Hidden King takes a guardian9:00 The Hidden King takes a guardian19:12 The Hidden King takes the rift19:34 The Hidden King takes a walker20:17 The Archmother takes a walker21:16 The Hidden King takes a walker26:00 The Hidden King takes the rejuvenator28:24 Bebop falls to Paradox31:19 The Archmother takes a walker31:32 Apollo falls to Venator31:39 Paradox falls to Venator31:41 Abrams falls to Haze35:34 the Hidden King wins

Where the curve comes from

Trained on replays of the game

The curve does not come from a formula. It is a model trained on almost 4,000 replays of real ranked matches, close to a terabyte of them: from every moment of each one it learned who went on to win.

~4,000
replays of ranked matches, all from one patch (3,969 exactly)
~1 TB
of compressed replays (950 GB)
1.1 pt
average gap between what it predicts and what happens, over 592 matches it never saw

The curve

Your team's win probability at every moment, from start to finish, with the fights and the objectives marked on top.

50%
0:00
38%
7:00 · the Archmother ahead
98%
34:00 · the Hidden King ahead

The moments

Almost always deaths. Each with its time, its cost in probability points and its context: who got the kill, how many were nearby, what fell afterwards.

31:41 · Casualty reportNo. 1
−11.1probability points

Abrams dies to Haze. 2 allies and 3 enemies nearby; alive, 6 vs 3. A barracks falls 38 s later.

in the enemy half · more happened in the fight

The twelve

What each hero added and took away in that match, broken down into kills, assists, deaths, objectives and farm.

Abrams−29.1
Bebop+15.1
Ivy+21.9

What this paper does not print

  • Scores
  • Rankings
  • MVP
  • Streaks
  • Averages
  • Advice

One match and nothing else. The report says where you were and with whom, not what you should have done.

How to read the figures · The cost is how much less your team wins, on average, after that moment: association, not cause. It is not a player score.

Sign in with SteamRead the story of your last match. From Steam, only your account identifier is used.